A Suggestion For MMT

Today we say ‘Gov’t v. Non Gov’t’…

We say that ‘Gov’t Deficits = Non Gov’t Surpluses’, which makes it clear, and that is good…

But on a given day, if the federal government deficit spent and added newly-created, high-powered dollars into the money supply which ONLY went to state & local gov’t, this isn’t captured with just Gov’t v. Non Gov’t. For example, if the federal gov’t deficit spent only to state & local gov’t, for grants, infrastructure, workforce development, or medicare/medicaid reimbursement, the Gov’t v. Non Gov’t model shows net nothing happened. Meaning with this present two-sector model, we are missing that improvement of those state & local government’s financial standings due to that significant state & local surplus, which also decreases their municipal bond ‘leverage vulnerability’…

Conversely, in a misguided effort by policymakers to attain federal gov’t surplus, if they were to cut federal funding to the state & local gov’t, again, this model doesn’t reflect state & local gov’t savings deficits that will have negative economic effects to their financial standing. In addition, that may spill over to decrease private sector savings, threatening the private sector’s financial standing, which may not only increase the state & local ‘leverage vulnerability’, but the private sector’s as well…

Perhaps we could improve on the Gov’t v. Non Gov’t model and make it even better? Not to say that there is anything *wrong* with it, just offering an idea that may improve it. We’d still be crank-starting cars if we stopped tweaking them, right? So here’s a suggestion: How about we slide state & local gov’t over with the private sector, and instead say Federal gov’t v. Non federal gov’t…

I believe this modification would go a long way, not just in a slightly better illumination of financial flows, but also in helping the uninitiated better understand and more easily accept the concepts of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). The ‘issuer’ of dollars v. the ‘users’ of dollars will start to make more sense to more people. This may also have a far-reaching cauterization effect that may heal the political divisiveness that has been so detrimental to solving America’s problems. If we no longer commingle federal gov’t with state & local gov’t, more folks with hard-wired ideology and confirmation bias may begin to understand what ‘the-federal-gov’t-is-not-the-same-as-a-household’ and by extension ‘the-federal-gov’t-is-not-the-same-as-a-state-&-local-govt’ really means. This is a compromise to all the ‘Fiscal conservatives’ and ‘Deficit hawks’ who can continue to fight their good fight for state & local gov’t to get their fiscal houses in order, while at the same time becoming less suspicious of MMT proponents if they, as we, see the federal gov’t as a separate paradigm…

Take these three entities:

A) Federal gov’t  B) State & local municipal gov’t  C) Private sector households & businesses

Of the entities above, which one, or two, and/or maybe all three, match these scenarios:

1) This entity has the AUTHORITY TO TAX…2) The taxation by this entity MUST be done to finance its spending…3) Once all revenue inflow (no matter what source) is exhausted, this entity MUST then borrow dollars to spend…4) In order to borrow, dollars must be LENT to this entity (this entity must ‘get’ dollars from someone else)…5) When borrowing dollars, this entity goes into actual DEBT…6) All of this entity’s debt must be ‘PAID BACK’…7)  This entity is the ‘ISSUER’ of dollars…8) This entity is a ‘USER’ of dollars…9) In the game of Monopoly, this entity is more like ‘BANKER’…10) In the game of Monopoly, this entity is more like ‘PLAYER’…11) This entity IS NOT revenue constrained (it always has unlimited dollars)…12) This entity IS revenue constrained (it only has limited dollars)…13)  This entity needs to BALANCE THE ECONOMY because it will never run out of dollars…14) This entity needs to BALANCE THEIR BUDGET or else they will run out of dollars…15) This entity acts for the greater good and a common cause for ALL people…16) This entity acts as either a ‘non-profit’ or a ‘for-profit’ only for CERTAIN people…17) This entity IS the ‘Lender-of-last-resort’…18) This entity IS NOT the ‘Lender-of-last-resort’ 19) This entity has NEVER experienced a missed interest payment, a debt restructuring, or actual default of their debt (this entity has very little leverage vulnerability)…20) This entity MAY have in the past experienced a missed interest payment, a debt restructuring, or actual default of their debt (this entity has some leverage vulnerability)…

How many times did you choose Federal gov’t AND State & local govt together at the same time…once or twice (?)

How many times did you choose State & local govt AND Private sector together at the same time…more than that (?)

If it walks more like a duck….and it sounds more like a duck…why not start calling it a ‘Non federal government’ duck (?)

 

 

 

 

eddie d   <eddiedelz@gmail.com>

 

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